Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 344.151461 390.857245 442.997885 505.782367 579.677067 664.303288 769.152832
2025-07-27 276.482400 337.515483 411.966439 510.521051 639.136028 803.501689 1033.079936
2025-08-03 233.346441 297.712382 380.661783 497.290657 660.143209 884.259794 1224.679146
2025-08-10 203.963669 269.452737 357.625760 487.822289 680.103465 961.865854 1422.280019
2025-08-17 188.976179 257.646261 353.866787 502.544447 734.046436 1094.417908 1727.303653
2025-08-24 172.288007 241.028589 340.568168 500.322695 760.501591 1187.253331 1986.108966
2025-08-31 156.996876 224.538969 325.153812 492.067257 774.919746 1261.177819 2226.310176
2025-09-07 146.455142 213.918421 317.184131 494.082360 805.781443 1367.334072 2550.316937
2025-09-14 134.755665 200.321243 302.997998 483.740437 813.054745 1431.034877 2803.510603
2025-09-21 126.378824 191.146202 294.885651 482.524432 836.140904 1527.958677 3151.232374
2025-09-28 115.503971 177.023810 277.282231 462.476303 820.816609 1545.369789 3322.297262
2025-10-05 112.494972 175.520686 280.674632 480.579352 881.752831 1731.225926 3950.007608
2025-10-12 109.827112 174.520837 285.097771 501.688331 953.341126 1958.007363 4768.952282
2025-10-19 104.534875 168.610846 280.325185 504.626271 987.626282 2107.971197 5435.424685
2025-10-26 97.549552 159.187989 268.334399 491.800717 985.471688 2169.882858 5864.279692
2025-11-02 91.691812 151.341731 258.586757 482.430576 989.677920 2248.671980 6377.369585
2025-11-09 89.380529 149.697411 260.288472 496.958984 1051.448493 2491.077147 7543.016509
2025-11-16 85.228246 144.369475 254.472959 494.766611 1072.804442 2628.780309 8400.427023
2025-11-23 80.737706 138.108671 246.339456 486.621980 1078.207239 2722.620472 9136.150379
2025-11-30 77.703331 134.386994 242.926538 488.610079 1109.739325 2901.487478 10314.126073
2025-12-07 73.627843 128.418738 234.546078 478.406459 1107.825032 2977.417265 11087.360833
2025-12-14 70.745296 124.580693 230.230464 477.206675 1130.072319 3136.577263 12342.964704
2025-12-21 66.283866 117.405295 218.529953 457.424732 1098.260792 3109.864736 12671.440144